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Blog

How to use statistics to forecast an election

Oct 20, 2024

Most election forecasters currently have the 2024 presidential election projected to be neck-and-neck. However, I believe they all share a similar problem of not using rigorous math. Here, I propose a way to remedy that.

Can betting odds predict the outcome of an election?

Oct 8, 2024

With the U.S. presidential election coming up, many pundits are saying that referring to the betting markets can give a clearer picture of who is most likely to win this election. But is this actually the case?

Rolling for even or odd is fair, no matter how many dice

Jan. 23, 2021

Even-odd is a good replacement for high roll in turn based games to decide who plays first. But people still have some hangups about whether or not it's fair. Let's talk about it.