2024 Presidential Election Forecast

Harris has an 81.2% chance to win.

Trump has an 18.8% chance to win.

There is a 0.0% chance of a tie in the electoral college.

See below for more details or click on a swing state for a closer look.

	Probability of Harris Win	Probability of Trump Win
Pennsylvania	99.3%	0.7%
Wisconsin	98.0%	2.0%
Nevada	73.2%	26.8%
Michigan	60.1%	39.9%
North Carolina	56.1%	43.9%
Georgia	0.2%	99.8%
Arizona	0.0%	100.0%